The authors
conclude that the striking differences between rich and poor economies is
explained to a large degree by the differences in institutions between
economies, which provide incentives for people to work hard, become more
productive and grow wealthier. For
example, the right to private property, reliable enforcement of legal
contracts, stable economies, financial markets and currencies etc.
The authors make
this case in part by observing "border" case studies, where geography
and the ethnic background of the local population are largely the same, but the
economies are very different, such as between North and South Korea. There's a strong correlation between which
countries are rich today and which have had a strong, centralized government
for the longest period of time in the past, though patterns of colonization and
the presence of natural resources are also important factors.
Diamond concedes
that institutions matter - accounting for, he estimates, about 50% of the
answer - but he believes that the authors don't adequately emphasize the
importance of geography. For example,
some countries with poor institutions are nonetheless richer than more honest
nearby nations, and a number of countries with solid institutions remain poorer
than more corrupt counterparts.
Tropical locales,
regardless of the quality of institutions, tend to be poor, because of the prevalence
of disease and unproductive agriculture.
Parasitic diseases, and the flies and mosquitos that spread them, aren't
killed regularly by a cold winter, causing devastating sickness that saps the
power of local economies. In addition, agriculture
is less productive, again thanks to diseases and pests, and also because of
differences in plant characteristics, historical patterns of glacial freezing,
and the effect of temperature on organic matter.
Physical proximity
to oceans and major rivers also help to explain differences in economic
circumstances. It's no coincidence that
the poorest nations in South America and Africa are all fully or partly
landlocked. Finally, many countries that
have suffered devastating environmental problems - especially damage to soil,
water, forests and fisheries - also find themselves poor in consequence.
Though Diamond
agrees with the authors that the history of a country's institutions matters,
he argues that they underestimate the effect that geography had on making some
nations amenable to stable institutions in the first place. For example, Europe's many rich cities and
countries arose out of the Fertile Crescent, a highly productive area of
agricultural land. Productive farmland
allowed not just for sustenance but surplus supplies of food, which enabled
some people to work outside of agriculture, allowing for the formation of
central governments.
Diamond's long
review will give readers interested in economics, geography or human
development a broad but detailed understanding of why some countries flourish,
while others fall behind.
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