The exploratory drilling represented a cheap, high-upside call option for the company. Indeed, management has suggested that success in the Mediterranean has the potential to double the company's reserves, which are already strikingly large and valuable compared to its market capitalization.
It's unclear at
this point how and when the cash-strapped company will proceed with developing
its newfound asset, but more color will come in the third quarter, the company
said. However, since a portion of the
company's liquidity is tied to the value of its reserves, it may mean added
access to cash in the not-too-distant future.
If the company is
able to successfully complete its Telemark workovers (they pledged to do so
before June 30th, and, not for the first time, have failed to deliver on time)
and its crucial Clipper wells, then the company is only suffering from a
short-term liquidity crunch. If not,
there are fatal threats to its long-term solvency, though as long as they
remain current on their interest payments, not until 2015.
In short, this was
much needed good news, but white-knuckled shareholders are impatiently waiting
for more of the same from Telemark in the coming days.
Disclosure: The author was long ATP options at the time this article was published.
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